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	<title>One Winning Drive &#187; Previews</title>
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		<title>Three Thoughts on Ravens-Broncos</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/31/three-thoughts-on-ravens-broncos_77/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/31/three-thoughts-on-ravens-broncos_77/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2009 14:33:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://onewinningdrive.com/?p=77</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[1. Denver&#8217;s defense is for real&#8230; Not &#8220;for real, for real&#8221; like the Ravens teams of the past, but they are legitimately good. They stop the run with the best of them, have a great pass rush, and one of the league&#8217;s best corners leading a solid secondary. To really mess with this Denver defense [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>1. Denver&#8217;s defense is for real&#8230; </strong>Not &#8220;for real, for real&#8221; like the Ravens teams of the past, but they are legitimately good. They stop the run with the best of them, have a great pass rush, and one of the league&#8217;s best corners leading a solid secondary. To really mess with this Denver defense the Ravens are going to have to do a number of things well.</p>
<p>The Ravens have to maintain some substantial possessions to really tire the Broncos defense. That means running the ball and lots of it. And running ball is going to mean great line play (thank goodness Jared Gaither is likely to be back). But also, the Ravens are going to have to give Flacco time to throw and give him receivers to throw to (no more holding Heap in to block). Bottom line: Cam Cameron is going to have to be on his game &#8211; we need the perfect mix of smart and fun offense.</p>
<p><strong>2. The Ravens can contain Brandon Marshall.</strong> No, seriously, they can. I know, I know&#8230; it sounds crazy. But the Ravens contained Randy Moss. They contained Braylon Edwards. They&#8217;ve been able to muzzle some good receivers. But only when those receivers don&#8217;t have much help. Brandon Marshall is the Broncos only great offensive threat, with their next best receiver being Jabar Gaffney. The Ravens need to double, triple, total cover Marshall and then force Kyle Orton to make other decisions. Period.</p>
<p><strong>3. The Ravens need to start fast.</strong> I&#8217;ve seen some criticism of Joe Flacco and the offense for not always &#8216;clicking&#8217; right when a game starts. But really, none of this team has put it together early in games. Flacco&#8217;s apparent slow starts are probably just as much a symptom of bad game planning and lots of bench time (thank you, defense) as anything else. The whole team needs to come out in this game like it decides the season&#8230; because in many ways it does. When&#8217;s the last time we saw the defense start a game with a big turnover? Where are all the turnovers this year, anyway? And when&#8217;s the last time we&#8217;ve seen the special teams be truly special and set up both the offense and defense for greatness? Put it all together, guys.</p>
<p><strong>Official Prediction:</strong> The Ravens figure it out. It may not be pretty or spectacular, but it&#8217;s a win. And the home crowd has plenty to do with it. <strong>Ravens 27, Broncos 20.</strong></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Vikings-Ravens: On the Edge</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/16/vikings-ravens-on-the-edge_71/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/16/vikings-ravens-on-the-edge_71/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Oct 2009 03:11:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Key Match-ups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adrian Peterson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brett Favre]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cedric Benson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Defense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Flacco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Match-ups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota Vikings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Offense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Passing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Predictions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Preview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rushing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Special Teams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week 6]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.extremeravens.com/ravens/blog/2009/10/16/vikings-ravens-on-the-edge_71/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sorry for the delay&#8230; it happens! Ravens Rush vs. Vikings Defense: The Ravens can run the ball, or so I believe. But the Bengals managed to stop them and they&#8217;ve chosen not to run against other opponents. Put that against the Williams crew and the only rush defense that can rival the Ravens. Edge: Even [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry for the delay&#8230; it happens!</p>
<p><u><strong>Ravens Rush vs. Vikings Defense</strong></u>: The Ravens can run the ball, or so I believe. But the Bengals managed to stop them and they&#8217;ve chosen not to run against other opponents. Put that against the Williams crew and the only rush defense that can rival the Ravens. <strong>Edge: Even</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Ravens Pass vs. Vikings Defense</strong></u>: The loss of Jared Gaither might be hurt more than expected, especially with Jared Allen rushing the corner. The Vikings are talented but Joe Cool and the Ravens can win the match-ups if given time. <strong>Edge: Even</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Vikings Rush vs. Ravens Defense</strong></u>: The Ravens gave up 100 yards to a single back for the first time in nearly 40 games last week. If there&#8217;s any back I fear being able to do that again, it&#8217;s probably the Vikings Adrian Peterson. But the Ravens can shut him down if they play up to their ability. <strong>Edge: Even</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Vikings Pass vs. Ravens Defense</strong></u>: Brett Favre has been throwing the ball like a 35 year old recently (sorry, mandatory age joke taken care of). The Vikings still plan to keep the ball out of Favre&#8217;s hands as much as possible though. The Ravens D needs a good rush and a pick-me-up game. <strong>Edge: Even</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Special Teams</strong></u>: The Ravens are still seeking a solid return man (perhaps Ladarius Webb will get more than a pair of returns this week). Ravens punter Sam Koch continues to make a bid for team MVP (like on most Ravens teams). The Vikings are solid all around. Ryan Longwell is a great veteran kicker. Young&#8217;n Percy Harvin is making a splash on returns. The Ravens must contain him.  <strong>Edge: Even</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Micellaneous</strong></u>: The Ravens have lost two straight (about the same time they lost three straight last year, eh?)&#8230; Joe Flacco is still Mr. Unshakable on the road&#8230; The Vikings have one of the best home field advantages in the league thanks to the dome&#8230; The Vikings are one of five unbeatens left in the league&#8230; The combined record the Vikings opponents is 7-17. <strong>Edge: Vikings (+1)</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Official Prediction</strong></u></p>
<p>This is about as even as two teams are going to match-up in the NFL; they literally go strength-for-strength, player-for-player. A pair of nice defenses, great running games and a great quarterback match-up. In fact, I&#8217;m surprised there isn&#8217;t more talk about Flacco and Favre. C&#8217;mon, both F names, both undervalued coming out of college&#8230; right? Ok, stretch. But Flacco is emerging as one of the game&#8217;s best and Favre is trying to hold his value.</p>
<p>This is almost too close to call. I want to believe the Ravens will win this game (and they certainly can if they play to their strengths), but it&#8217;s hard to pick a team that has faded in the stretch for two straight games. The Ravens will play well, but it won&#8217;t be enough. The rebound will have to wait until after the bye. <strong>Vikings 23, Ravens 20.</strong></p>
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		<title>Palmer Brings Out Best, Worst in Ravens</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/08/palmer-brings-out-best-worst-in-ravens_56/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/08/palmer-brings-out-best-worst-in-ravens_56/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2009 16:27:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AFC North]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bengals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carson Palmer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chad Johnson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cincinnati Bengals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[complete game]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Defense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[losses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[new england]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Offense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Patriots]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[undefeated]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[week 5]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[week five]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[winning record]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wins]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.extremeravens.com/ravens/blog/2009/10/08/palmer-brings-out-best-worst-in-ravens_56/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Three story lines to follow as the Bengals come to Baltimore on Sunday&#8230; 1. Carson Palmer can beat the Ravens. The Carson Palmer of 2009 may not be in the same form we&#8217;ve come to know, but he is still Carson Palmer. And Carson Palmer has the ability to throw the ball all over the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Three story lines to follow as the Bengals come to Baltimore on Sunday&#8230;</p>
<p><u><strong>1. Carson Palmer can beat the Ravens</strong></u>.<img src="http://a.espncdn.com/media/apphoto/3e7c9741-0364-430d-8f86-cb41e4d0dad2.jpg" align="right" height="275" width="198" /></p>
<p>The Carson Palmer of 2009 may not be in the same form we&#8217;ve come to know, but he is still Carson Palmer. And Carson Palmer has the ability to throw the ball all over the Ravens when he&#8217;s feeling good. He&#8217;s done it before.</p>
<p>Overall, in nine games against the Ravens, Palmer has a quarterback rating of 87.6 with 12 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Not outstanding, but not shabby either.</p>
<p>But those numbers are skewed a bit. Palmer either plays his best or his worst against Baltimore. Palmer has six games against the Ravens with a QB Rating over 90 &#8211; in four of those games his QB rating is well over 100. In the other three games, his rating is under 60. There&#8217;s no middle ground.</p>
<p>Again, this year&#8217;s Palmer may not be able to do that &#8211; the Bengals are not the offensive force they once were. But if he&#8217;s done it before, he can do it again.</p>
<p><span id="more-56"></span><u><strong>2. The Bengals are&#8230; Special</strong></u>.</p>
<p>Special. That&#8217;s a nice way to put it, right? The Bengals are 3-1, and short of a fluke play in Denver in Week One, they would be undefeated. Against the Broncos, Packers and Steelers, that&#8217;s impressive.</p>
<p>But the Bengals have also been, well, special. They&#8217;re three wins are by a combined 13 points. Their last two games were won by the same score, 23-20, and both with late game-saving touchdown drives.</p>
<p>Statistically, they&#8217;re completely average: 21st in total offense and 17th in total defense. Technically, that&#8217;s almost worse than average. And all despite starting &#8220;so strong&#8221; defensively.</p>
<p>Even Chad Johnson has been &#8216;special&#8217; this season. Two touchdowns last week but just three total catches. He&#8217;s been in and out all season long.</p>
<p>So what does all this mean? Um&#8230; not sure. It means that the Bengals winning games the hard way, but they are still winning games. So take it easy.</p>
<p><u><strong>3.The Ravens Rebound</strong></u>.</p>
<p>For the first time this season the Ravens are playing after a loss. They&#8217;re also playing after a bit of a sour loss. The Ravens generally held their own in New England, but plenty of short-comings were exposed.</p>
<p>A good Ravens victory this week should have a number of changes from last week&#8230; (1) more rushing, , (2) improved returns, (3) a terrorizing defense in-control of itself.</p>
<p>That last one is the one to really keep an eye on. Can the Ravens continue to harass quarterbacks while keeping control of the penalties? If they relent, will the defense still be able to control opposing offenses?</p>
<p>I guess the bottom line here is that we are still waiting for an absolutely complete game from the Ravens &#8211; against someone other than the Browns. The Bengals provide that opportunity. Can the Ravens take it?</p>
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		<title>Week 4: Predictions</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/03/week-4-predictions_48/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/03/week-4-predictions_48/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 18:08:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Game Day]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Belichick]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cincinnati Bengals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cleveland Browns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Flacco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike and Mike]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New England Patriots]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Offense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philip Rivers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Predictions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Preview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ravens Defense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Diego]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Super Bowl]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tom Brady]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Troy Polamalu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week 4]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.extremeravens.com/ravens/blog/2009/10/03/week-4-predictions_48/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Three Predictions 1. The Ravens will score at least 25 points. My actual bet is 30 or more, but after a weak showing in the predictions game last week (or rather, missing my two hundred yard rushers) I&#8217;ll go easier. Did you hear Joe Flacco on Mike and Mike in the Morning the other day? [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><u><strong>Three Predictions</strong></u></p>
<p><strong>1. The Ravens will score at least 25 points. </strong>My actual bet is 30 or more, but after a weak showing in the predictions game last week (or rather, missing my two hundred yard rushers) I&#8217;ll go easier. Did you hear Joe Flacco on Mike and Mike in the Morning the other day? He sounded so cool, so collected, so confident in this team&#8217;s abilities; it was astounding. Mike Greenberg even said post interview that he regretted not picking the Ravens for the Super Bowl because Flacco clearly had it all. The Patriots cannot, will not stop the Ravens as easily as they assume.</p>
<p><strong>2. Randy Moss will disappear &#8211; for a half.</strong> Moss is one of the league&#8217;s greatest receivers &#8211; in history. Talent-wise, he might be unmatched. But like any receiver, he can be minimized. He can disappear. He is not a 10-reception-per-game machine, as much as he is made out to be. I think early in the game the Patriots will throw towards Moss frequently, trying to expose the height and power advantage against the Ravens secondary. As the game progresses, however, and the Ravens adjust, Moss will be quieted a bit. Brady will be relying more on his other options. Braylon Edwards disappeared last week because the Ravens doubled him all game long &#8211; think similar.</p>
<p><strong>3. The Chargers will dominated the Steelers. </strong>Vicious pass rush plus dangerous offense against weak offensive line and slightly hobbled defense? Did we mention struggling special teams unit? The Steelers look completely discombobulated, and the Chargers are not a push over. No Troy Polamalu = a big day for Philip Rivers. And the Steelers offense can&#8217;t run with those boys.</p>
<p><strong>BONUS!  Browns-Bengals will be closer than expected.</strong> I&#8217;m going outside of this game again, simply because I have a gut feeling on this one. I don&#8217;t know why &#8211; we certainly didn&#8217;t see any life from the Browns in Baltimore &#8211; but I think they will bounce back a bit this week at home. I&#8217;m almost leaning towards picking the Browns&#8230; hah!</p>
<p><u><strong>Three Questions</strong></u></p>
<p><strong>1. Will the Ravens pass rush even matter?</strong> I&#8217;ve heard a lot of talk about the blitz schemes the Ravens are preparing and how the Patriots are planning to defend against those schemes. But two points should be made here: (1) The Ravens defense is <em>not</em> the Jets defense. You shouldn&#8217;t expect the Ravens to blitz like the Jets or have the same success rushing the pass. (2) The Ravens pass rush has been weak recently. I expect Greg Mattison to focus a lot more on tight plays against the receivers (fixing that problem from San Diego) than rushing Brady.</p>
<p><strong>2. Can the Ravens slow their offense and eat clock?</strong> The true key for the Ravens will be to keep Tom Brady off the field as much as possible. We&#8217;ve seen the Ravens score quickly. In fact, in San Diego they were almost scoring too quickly at times. The Ravens struggled more later in the game when trying to drive the ball for longer times to keep Philip Rivers on the bench. The Ravens <em>should</em> be able to move the ball deliberately, but it&#8217;s not a given.</p>
<p><strong>3. What put Bill Belichick&#8217;s panties in a twist?</strong> Seriously, I&#8217;ve been wondering for a while. Football is a game, not a war, not a &#8220;way of life.&#8221; Win or lose, close game or blow out, your opponents are simply opponents, and they deserve your respect. Walk across the field, shake some hands, and act like a man.</p>
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		<title>Ravens-Patriots: On the Edge</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/02/ravens-patriots-on-the-edge_47/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/02/ravens-patriots-on-the-edge_47/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2009 18:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Game Day]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Key Match-ups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Defense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Edges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fred Taylor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Haloti Ngata]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Flacco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kelley Washington]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kelly Gregg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matchups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New England Patriots]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Offense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Predictions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Preview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Randy Moss]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rankings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[score]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Score Predictions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Special Teams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stephen Gostkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tom Brady]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week 4]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.extremeravens.com/ravens/blog/2009/10/02/ravens-patriots-on-the-edge_47/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ravens Rush vs. Patriots Defense The Ravens bring one of the league&#8217;s best rush attacks to New England. Everyone should be used to this by now. Despite throwing more than they&#8217;ve run in their three games this season, the Ravens rushing attack is still ranked 5th in the league. They also lead the league in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><u><strong>Ravens Rush vs. Patriots Defense</strong></u><img src="http://a.espncdn.com/media/apphoto/c7c00d94-ba61-4930-9ae0-8371f829cf65.jpg" align="right" height="232" width="187" /></p>
<p>The Ravens bring one of the league&#8217;s best rush attacks to New England. Everyone should be used to this by now. Despite throwing more than they&#8217;ve run in their three games this season, the Ravens rushing attack is still ranked 5th in the league. They also lead the league in rushing touchdowns. New England&#8217;s rush defense is much improved from last year, ranking 10th in the league presently and having allowed just one rushing touchdown. But the Patriots will struggle to contain the Ravens flexible rushing attack and formidable offensive line. <strong>Edge: Ravens (+2)</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Ravens Pass vs. Patriots Defense</strong></u></p>
<p>The key to the Ravens passing attack this season hasn&#8217;t been Joe Flacco. It hasn&#8217;t really been the receivers either. Though, both groups have been outstanding and have done more than their part to help the unit along. But the key to the Ravens passing game this season has been the offensive line. The real value of such a solid line is the versatility its gives the rest of the offense: enter Todd Heap, Kelley Washington (who even knew we were allowed to have three receivers on the field at once?) and even LJ Smith last week. Add a group of rushers that can catch the ball coming out of the backfield and this passing game is hard to handle. The Patriots pass defense has been solid, but imperfect. They are short on sacks and interceptions (zero!) and are allowing opposing quarterbacks a rating of 98.4. <strong>Edge: Ravens (+1)</strong><span id="more-47"></span></p>
<p><u><strong>Patriots Rush vs. Ravens Defense</strong></u></p>
<p>The Patriots rushing attack has always been relatively weak, especially in comparison to its vaunted passing game. The Patriots rushing game these days features long-time veteran and Ravens adversary Fred Taylor along side the younger bruiser Laurence Maroney.  And that&#8217;s not a combination to turn your nose up to. Taylor ran for over 100 yards against the Falcons last week. It&#8217;s clear that despite some early season hesitancy, Bill Belichick is moving his team back towards the run. But the Ravens defense is as good as they come against the run. Inside you meet Haloti Ngata and Kelly Gregg; anywhere else you meet one of the league&#8217;s best corps of linebackers. If the Ravens can force the Patriots to abandon the run early &#8211; as they did against New York two weeks ago &#8211; they&#8217;ll be in good shape. <strong>Edge: Ravens (+1)</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Patriots Pass vs. Ravens Defense</strong></u></p>
<p>The Patriots passing game is among the league&#8217;s best. That&#8217;s what Tom Brady and Randy Moss do for a team. Brady has been sacked just once this year, despite the talk of his &#8220;shaky&#8221; start. So it might be a bit much to expect the Ravens to be able to really get to Brady. But you don&#8217;t have to sack a quarterback to force mistakes. Even if they can&#8217;t get Brady while he still has the ball, hitting him soon after should do the trick. Downfield, the Ravens don&#8217;t have much of an answer to the Patriots receivers &#8211; at least not Moss. Moss is bigger and stronger than anyone the Ravens secondary can offer. The key for the Ravens will be to keep their speedy defensive backs in Moss&#8217; face, and then get lots of help over the top from Ed Reed and Dawan Landry. It is possible to make Randy Moss disappear; it&#8217;s just not easy. <strong>Edge: Patriots (+2)</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Special Teams</strong></u></p>
<p>Despite early season troubles, the Ravens special teams have come around a good bit. The return game could use work, but it won&#8217;t hurt the Ravens. And thanks to Sam Koch, the Ravens can play the field position game between kick-offs.  The Patriots are equally average.  Their returners are fine, not special. Kicker Stephen Gostkowski is one of the league&#8217;s better young kickers, but you won&#8217;t be comparing him to Vinatieri or even Stover anytime soon. <strong>Edge: Even</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Intangibles </strong></u></p>
<p>The Ravens have never beaten the Patriots. &#8230; The Patriots own one of the best homefield advantages in football. &#8230; The Ravens are good on the road, but better at home.  &#8230; The Ravens though are good as underdogs, even if by just a point and a half. &#8230; National experts are leaning Ravens, local experts (even in Baltimore) are leaning Patriots&#8230; <strong>Edge: Patriots (+1)</strong></p>
<p><u><strong>Prediction</strong></u></p>
<p>You&#8217;ll notice I added a plus-rating in parentheses to each edge this week &#8211; just trying it out. Not all edges are created equal, you see. By my math, the final total goes to the Ravens, +1. What does that mean, exactly? Not sure yet. But here&#8217;s what I&#8217;m thinking.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m thinking that I have this gut feeling that the Ravens are going to continue to score points. They have been scoring all kinds of ways this season &#8211; long passes and runs that take just second as well as long drive that can take nearly a quarter. The Ravens balance offensively is going to challenge every defense they face. It&#8217;s simple football philosophy: a defense cannot protect against everything. And right now, the Ravens offense has just about everything.</p>
<p>So, the Ravens are going to score. The Patriots are going to score when they have the ball as well, there&#8217;s just not much answer to Brady-to-Moss. But the Ravens are going to eat clock and keep the Pats off the field, every chance they get. And that&#8217;s something Tom Brady alone cannot fix. The Ravens win by about a touchdown. <strong>Ravens 31, Patriots 24.</strong></p>
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		<title>Three Thoughts on Ravens-Patriots</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/01/three-thoughts-on-ravens-patriots_46/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/10/01/three-thoughts-on-ravens-patriots_46/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2009 18:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Key Match-ups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Atlanta Falcons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Match-ups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New England Patriots]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[offensive line]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philip Rivers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Predictions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Randy Moss]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[running backs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tom Brady]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.extremeravens.com/ravens/blog/2009/10/01/three-thoughts-on-ravens-patriots_46/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[1. These may not be the Patriots of 2007, but they are still the Patriots. These Patriots may have lost a game early to a team they usually dominate, and they may have struggled against a questionable Bills team, but they are still the Patriots. Tom Brady is just three games in to a recovery [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://blog.masslive.com/sports_impact/2008/08/large_pats1.jpg" align="right" height="204" hspace="5" vspace="5" width="309" /><strong>1. These may not be the Patriots of 2007, but they are still the Patriots.</strong> These Patriots may have lost a game early to a team they usually dominate, and they may have struggled against a questionable Bills team, but they are still the Patriots. Tom Brady is just three games in to a recovery that many times can take a full season, or more. And yet, last week against Atlanta, the Patriots we all fear showed up and dominated a familiar Atlanta Falcons team.</p>
<p>Familiar why? Because they are built around a stud second-year quarterback, a dominant run game, and a stout defense. Sound familiar, Ravens? The Ravens have plenty going for them, but it won&#8217;t be easy.</p>
<p><strong>2. The Ravens balance on offense gives them hope.</strong> The Ravens offensive attack this season might be the league&#8217;s most balanced. It&#8217;s not just balanced pass-to-rush. The rushing game itself is brilliantly balanced between three runners of varying styles &#8211; the speedy Ray Rice, the deceptive Willis McGahee, and the powerful Le&#8217;Ron McClain. The team may not be able to put all three on the field for every play, but each is strong enough to keep this offense moving on its own. Even in pass heavy victories against the Chiefs and Browns, the Ravens runners have made an impact.</p>
<p>But the real key to the Ravens success on offense is its line. The Ravens line is, for the first time ever, a good at pass protection as it is at opening holes for the running game. The Ravens can open up three and four receiver sets and truly trouble defenses.</p>
<p><strong>3. The Ravens have plenty of holes. </strong>Not sure why the Ravens seem to be such favorites in this game around the country, but they are getting a lot of love. I&#8217;m not even entirely against it, but it is a bit curious. It was just two weeks ago that Philip Rivers threw for 440 yards against a battered Ravens secondary &#8211; without several starters on his offensive line. The Pats offer just as many problems: a steady, deadly quarterback in Tom Brady; a corps of tall, speedy receivers featuring Randy Moss; and a powerful offensive line that specializes in pass blocking.</p>
<p>If the Ravens pass rush can&#8217;t get to Brady, be wary. If the Ravens secondary can&#8217;t handle Moss, be wary. The hope for the Ravens here is that thanks to less-than-super rushing game in New England, the Ravens may be able to devote all of their efforts to the pass rush. But good luck.</p>
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		<title>Ravens-Browns: Predictions</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/09/26/ravens-browns-predictions_38/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/09/26/ravens-browns-predictions_38/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Sep 2009 14:51:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[AFC North]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[100 yards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Big Play]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cincinnati Bengals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cleveland Browns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Defense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ed Reed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Mangini]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fabian Washington]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fumble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Mattison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Haloti Ngata]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hines Ward]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interception]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Cribbs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pittsburgh Steelers]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Preview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Questions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[quote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ray Lewis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ray Rice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Running Game]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sacks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[score]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Secondary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shutout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turnovers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[upset]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week 3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Willis McGahee]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.extremeravens.com/ravens/blog/2009/09/26/ravens-browns-predictions_38/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Three Predictions: 1. Two Ravens runners will top 100 yards. That&#8217;s pretty bold, right? I&#8217;m leaning towards Willis McGahee and Ray Rice, obviously. Not sure that there are even enough carries in one game to get them both over 100 yards, but it only really takes one big run (and the Browns specialize in making [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Three Predictions:</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. Two Ravens runners will top 100 yards. </strong>That&#8217;s pretty bold, right? I&#8217;m leaning towards Willis McGahee and Ray Rice, obviously. Not sure that there are even enough carries in one game to get them both over 100 yards, but it only really takes one big run (and the Browns specialize in making those available). If this doesn&#8217;t happen, I won&#8217;t be losing any sleep. Just a gut feeling.</p>
<p><strong>2. It won&#8217;t be a shut-out.</strong> As much as Ravens fans and the team want it, the Browns are going to score. This Ravens defense is not there yet, especially not with Josh Cribbs helping out with field position. Not sure if the Browns will find the endzone or not (based on yesterday&#8217;s score prediction, I&#8217;m leaning towards not), but they will put something up on the scoreboard. But man, what would a shut out do for the Ravens points allowed average!</p>
<p><strong>3. The Bengals will upend the Steelers.</strong> Ok, so this one isn&#8217;t Ravens, obviously. But there&#8217;s only so much to say about Ravens-Browns. Looking at the other division game this weekend, I&#8217;m loving the Bengals. Their defense is more legitimate than most think at the moment, and with the Steelers unable to run and vulnerable to the sack, there&#8217;s hope for Cincy. I also love Hines Ward saying that Pitt isn&#8217;t worried about their running game because the passing attack can handle it &#8211; for how long, Hines?</p>
<p><strong>Three Questions:</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. Will the Ravens big play defense show up?</strong> The Ravens are facing a pair of back-up runners (one a rookie). Their also facing an inexperience quarterback leading a sloppy offense. The turnovers should be there for the taking &#8211; so will the Ravens take them? I expect a couple of turnovers, of course. But the bigger question is can the Ravens turn one into their signature scoring play? Fans are waiting &#8211; Ed Reed, Fabian Washington, Haloti Ngata, we&#8217;re looking at you.</p>
<p><strong>2. Will the Ravens secondary improve?</strong> It better, given the opponent is far less advanced than San Diego was last week, but we all still have doubts. Defensive coordinator Greg Mattison said the defense will be returning to more standard secondary arrangements, hopefully keeping everyone on the same page and (we can only hope) in the right position. It would also help if he taught his smaller corners how to defend a pass, and not just run stride for stride with a receiver. But we can only hope for so much in a week.</p>
<p><strong>3. Will the Browns implode? </strong>Their play on the field has already collapsed, obviously. That&#8217;s not really the question. But the whole team seems on the verge of absolute self-destruction. If the Ravens really pound the Browns, it might just be enough to send them over the edge and on the path to being one of the truly memorable bad teams in football history. Ray Lewis has a history of leaving bad memories for opponents, we can only hope he delivers here.</p>
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		<title>Ravens-Browns: On the Edge</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/09/25/ravens-browns-on-the-edge_37/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/09/25/ravens-browns-on-the-edge_37/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Sep 2009 14:48:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Key Match-ups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brady Quinn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Braylon Edwards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cleveland Browns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Defense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Mangini]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jamal Lewis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Flacco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Cribbs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Le'Ron McClain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Match-ups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Offense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Preview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ray Lewis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ray Rice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Special Teams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week 3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Willis McGahee]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.extremeravens.com/ravens/blog/2009/09/25/ravens-browns-on-the-edge_37/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[      Ravens Rush Attack vs. Browns Rush Defense The Browns rush defense could be one of the worst in league history, even relative to other Browns defenses in recent memory. And as bad as they have been, the Texans are actually still worse at the moment, statistically. Regardless, the Browns have allowed more than [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>   <img src="http://a.espncdn.com/media/apphoto/7cb06439-ee06-4aa7-86df-cbe2a8745cfe.jpg" alt="Ray Lewis" height="154" width="213" />   <img src="http://a.espncdn.com/media/apphoto/b2b6d835-2293-4e50-994e-a937d03af7fb.jpg" alt="Brady Quinn" height="155" width="139" /></p>
<p><strong>Ravens Rush Attack vs. Browns Rush Defense</strong></p>
<p>The Browns rush defense could be one of the worst in league history, even relative to other Browns defenses in recent memory. And as bad as they have been, the Texans are actually still worse at the moment, statistically. Regardless, the Browns have allowed more than 400 yards rushing in just two games. And the Ravens? Well, they only bring the league&#8217;s fourth best rush attack to the game. While no individual Raven is going to have Adrian Peterson-type numbers at the end of the day (180 yards and 3 TDs), you can bet that the Ravens are going to get as much as they can on the ground. Any of the Ravens three runners (Willis McGahee, Ray Rice and Le&#8217;Ron McClain) could handle this defense alone. And with the help of the Ravens offensive line, which has been downright dominant on the ground this season, you can expect to see defenders blown off the ball play after play. <strong>Edge: Ravens</strong></p>
<p><strong>Ravens Pass Attack vs. Browns Pass Defense:</strong></p>
<p><span id="more-37"></span>Compared their rush defense, the Browns pass defense is a super-star unit. At present, the Browns pass defense is seventh in the league, allowing just over 170 yards passing per game. But the Browns apparent success in stopping the pass is a bit of a magic act. The Browns have four sacks in two games and no interceptions. They are not getting pressure, nor are they finding the ball. In reality, it&#8217;s not that the Browns are able to stop the pass, but more that opponents find it easier (and safer) to keep the ball on the ground. Meanwhile, Joe Flacco and the Ravens pass attack continues to grow. Flacco&#8217;s numbers in San Diego were not outstanding, but he did find the endzone twice and converted a number of important third downs. The receivers are finding their niches in the unit. And the offensive line has done a brilliant job of keeping Flacco safe. <strong>Edge: Ravens</strong></p>
<p><strong>Browns Rush Attack vs. Ravens Rush Defense</strong></p>
<p>The Browns 2009 version of Jamal Lewis is not the Jamal Lewis that Ravens fans remember grinding out 2000 yards in 2003 and driving an offense for six seasons. Lewis has continued to have leg injuries since arriving in Cleveland and this year is no different; he did not practice on Thursday and may not play on Sunday. But even with Lewis, the Browns rush attack is less than explosive. Lewis has less than 100 yards in his two games this season and is not even averaging four yards per carry. As a team, the Browns have managed just 41 carries in two games and 143 yards on those attempts. The Browns will be bringing that attack, without Lewis, against the Ravens and the league&#8217;s best rush defense. You can&#8217;t run through them (think about that, running <em>through</em> Kelly Gregg and Haloti Ngata), and you can&#8217;t run around them. And, actually, come to think of it, you may not even be able to run <em>to</em> them. (<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldY2pInMyR4">Click Here</a>) Sorry, couldn&#8217;t resist. <strong>Edge: Ravens</strong></p>
<p><strong>Browns Pass Attack vs. Ravens Pass Defense</strong></p>
<p>If there&#8217;s one spot where the Browns might be able to make some ground against the Ravens, it&#8217;s in the air. The Ravens pass defense has been severely suspect in its first two games. Not only did the Ravens allow Philip Rivers to pass for over 400 yards last week, but in Week 1 they allowed the Chiefs and Brodie Croyle to move downfield easily on several occasions. The Ravens corners are small and are still not totally familiar with the team&#8217;s system. Add to that a limited pass rush and it&#8217;s a formula for big passing days. The question is whether the Browns can capitalize on the Ravens weakness. Brady Quinn can certainly throw the ball, but he&#8217;s yet to prove it in the NFL. And receiver Braylon Edwards will give the Ravens trouble downfield &#8211; he&#8217;s the kind of height/speed combo that caused so many problems in San Diego. But the question is whether the two can connect. Last week they managed to combine for more than 90 yards. If that&#8217;s the only damage Quinn can do, the Ravens should be ok. <strong>Edge: Even</strong></p>
<p><strong>Special Teams</strong></p>
<p>The Ravens special teams made solid progress last week in San Diego. Steven Hauschka&#8217;s kick offs and place kicking both looked solid. Sam Koch had one of the best games of his career. And the Ravens return game began to show signs of life. But the Ravens did struggle to contain Chargers return man Darren Sproles. In Cleveland, the Ravens will have to face the only return man better than Sproles &#8211; Josh Cribbs. They&#8217;ll also face one of the few kickers more accurate than legend Matt Stover, veteran Phil Dawson. And their own former punter, Dave Zastudil. The Browns special teams could cause problems for the Ravens, but not enough to change the game. <strong>Edge: Browns</strong></p>
<p><strong>Intangibles</strong></p>
<p>The Ravens are among the league&#8217;s best at home. The Ravens defense is eager to prove that they remember how to defend the pass and make the big play. The whole unit is energized by the finish to last week&#8217;s game and the boost in national media coverage this week. The Browns are quickly establishing themselves as the league&#8217;s worst team. Eric Mangini is continuing to fight reports that his team despises him.  It all points one way. <strong>Edge: Ravens</strong></p>
<p><strong>Prediction</strong></p>
<p>No chance, not close, don&#8217;t even hesitate. Actually, my only hesitation is that I <em>hate</em> feeling this confident. But there&#8217;s simply no doubt. The Ravens are going to run away with this one. The only questions&#8230; Will Harbaugh pull his starters early if things get out of hand? (If he does, will it matter? Troy Smith could handle this defense). Will the Ravens defense score and find its big play ability? Will the Ravens put up more yards on the ground or in the air? <strong>Ravens 34, Browns 9</strong></p>
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		<title>Browns Hardly a Bother, We Think</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/09/24/browns-hardly-a-bother-we-think_35/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/09/24/browns-hardly-a-bother-we-think_35/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2009 15:28:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brady Quinn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Braylon Edwards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cleveland Browns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Defense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Cribbs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Match-ups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Offense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Preview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Special Teams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week 3]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.extremeravens.com/ravens/blog/2009/09/24/browns-hardly-a-bother-we-think_35/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[                                   Thursday is usually the day where we break down the big match-up or big story of the week. Usually. Honestly, there isn&#8217;t one story in the Ravens-Browns game coming up on Sunday worth an entire column. Not one. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>                                   <img src="http://a.espncdn.com/media/apphoto/bd121368-67d5-4b3b-87ef-e7d23e8f6269.jpg" height="308" width="210" /></p>
<p>Thursday is usually the day where we break down the big match-up or big story of the week. Usually. Honestly, there isn&#8217;t one story in the Ravens-Browns game coming up on Sunday worth an entire column. Not one. There&#8217;s just nothing too interesting in this match-up, nothing the Browns are about that is worth a few hundred words.</p>
<p>So instead, here are three half-hearted items that the Ravens need to think about heading into Sunday&#8230;</p>
<p><u><strong>1.  Josh Cribbs.</strong></u> The Ravens kick and punt coverage improved in Week 2 against the dangerous Darren Sproles, thanks in large part to great kicks by both Steven Hauschka and Sam Koch. If there is one returner more dangerous than Sproles right now, it&#8217;s Cribbs. Sproles nearly broke a few big kick returns and his impact on field position hurt the Ravens defensive effort. The Ravens need to more than match their effort from last week to contain Cribbs.</p>
<p><u><strong>2. Braylon Edwards.</strong></u> If you want to talk about big, fast receivers, you want to talk about Edwards. Personally, I&#8217;m still having nightmares about Vincent Jackson and Chris Chambers, I can&#8217;t even handle thinking about Edwards. The only threat the Ravens need to consider when the Browns have the ball is Edwards. If Brady Quinn can put the ball in the air, Edwards has a good shot of bringing it down. Last week Edwards caught six passes for more than 90 yards in a loss.</p>
<p><u><strong>3. The Big Play.</strong></u> Let&#8217;s do the math together. Cribbs plus Edwards equals a dangerous mix and a good possibility of some big plays. We saw in Week 1 how just a pair of big plays can make any game look close. One interception&#8230; one big pass&#8230; one kick/punt return&#8230; A mistake here, a mistake there; it all adds up. The Ravens biggest worry, and our biggest worry as fans, should be the possibility that our defense continues to let up the big play.</p>
<p>The Browns aren&#8217;t heavy on talent. They aren&#8217;t loaded with heart at the moment either. But it only takes one player and one play to change a game.  The Browns have more than a few individuals that can really make a difference even in the face of a floundering franchise.</p>
<p>But in the end&#8230; don&#8217;t bet against the Ravens.</p>
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		<title>Ravens-Chargers: Three Predictions</title>
		<link>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/09/19/ravens-chargers-three-predictions_29/</link>
		<comments>http://onewinningdrive.com/2009/09/19/ravens-chargers-three-predictions_29/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Sep 2009 14:20:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan McGrain</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Previews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Antonio Gates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Darren Sproles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jared Gaither]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Flacco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Oher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philip Rivers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Predictions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Preview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Questions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ray Rice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Diego Chargers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shawne Merriman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrell Suggs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Todd Heap]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trevor Pryce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turnovers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week 2]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.extremeravens.com/ravens/blog/2009/09/19/ravens-chargers-three-predictions_29/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Three Questions: 1. Can the Ravens pass rush shake Philip Rivers? Rivers is used to getting hit &#8211; he&#8217;s hardly the least sacked quarterback in the league. But Rivers thrives despite his line&#8217;s deficiencies and is still one of the league&#8217;s most productive and dangerous quarterbacks. If the Ravens can&#8217;t rattle him, he&#8217;ll be in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Three Questions:</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. Can the Ravens pass rush shake Philip Rivers?</strong> Rivers is used to getting hit &#8211; he&#8217;s hardly the least sacked quarterback in the league. But Rivers thrives despite his line&#8217;s deficiencies and is still one of the league&#8217;s most productive and dangerous quarterbacks. If the Ravens can&#8217;t rattle him, he&#8217;ll be in the game until the end. That&#8217;s you we&#8217;re looking at, Terrell Suggs and Trevor Pryce.</p>
<p><strong>2. Can Joe Flacco eliminate the mistakes? </strong>Big mistakes are not Flacco&#8217;s big weakness. He makes small mistakes &#8211; overthrows and missed receivers &#8211; that have small consequences. But against a good team, small mistakes can turn into big mistakes. Flacco can&#8217;t be flinging the ball around recklessly on this defense.</p>
<p><strong>3. Can Michael Oher and Jared Gaither handle Shawne Merriman? </strong>Merriman was a non-factor last week in Oakland for the Chargers, but it was his first full game back from last season&#8217;s injury. If the Ravens expect to be able to pass the ball, they&#8217;ll have to protect against Merriman&#8217;s attack &#8211; and the youngsters on the corner will have to do it.</p>
<p><strong>Three Predictions:</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. Todd Heap will outshine Antonion Gates.</strong> It&#8217;s not just that Heap is back in rhythm, but Joe Flacco clearly knows how to use the big man. Heap will make an impact for the second straight week and confirm what many in the league have feared: he is still one of the league&#8217;s most impressive tight ends.</p>
<p><strong>2. Darren Sproles will not top 50 yards on the ground.</strong> If Sproles is going to change this game, it&#8217;s going to be receiving out of the backfield and on special teams. While the &#8220;thunder and lightning&#8221; tandems have trouble the Ravens in past, the defense can handle just speed &#8211; which is all Sproles has going for him.</p>
<p><strong>3. </strong> <strong>Turnovers will rule. </strong>This game will be decided by mistakes &#8211; who makes more and when they make them. Neither the Ravens or Chargers have proved to be mistake-free yet (on offense or defense). But a big mistake or two will burn the losing team. Don&#8217;t think the Ravens can survive a blocked punt and 70-yard interception return this week.</p>
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